Lincoln Anderson

There's not a big inflation problem. Under those circumstances, you get a benign yield-curve inversion.

There's not a big inflation problem. Under those circumstances, you get a benign yield-curve inversion.

It reminds me of PIO, or pilot induced oscillation, a lag in the plane's response to a pilot moving the read more

It reminds me of PIO, or pilot induced oscillation, a lag in the plane's response to a pilot moving the stick, ... You push the stick down and the plane doesn't go down right away, so you push it down more, and then it really starts to fall. The same thing happens in monetary policy if you have gradualism in interest rates.

I think this will be more of a company-led expansion instead of one led by consumers.

I think this will be more of a company-led expansion instead of one led by consumers.

The biggest thing that would help the markets right now would be a sustained drop in crude oil, but I'm read more

The biggest thing that would help the markets right now would be a sustained drop in crude oil, but I'm not holding my breath for that. It's drawing attention away from third-quarter numbers that, despite GM, are really pretty good.

For five years I worked at the [Commerce Department] and did econometric modeling, and you could never get these numbers read more

For five years I worked at the [Commerce Department] and did econometric modeling, and you could never get these numbers to load into consumption numbers. They're not leading indicators or coincident indicators. They don't tell you a lot.