Lincoln Anderson

There's not a big inflation problem. Under those circumstances, you get a benign yield-curve inversion.

There's not a big inflation problem. Under those circumstances, you get a benign yield-curve inversion.

I'm more interested in whether the losses we'll see on Friday are a permanent feature on the landscape or just read more

I'm more interested in whether the losses we'll see on Friday are a permanent feature on the landscape or just the result of people pushed out of work due to Katrina and Rita. I think the market will look at it and shrug it off and look at what's going to happen in October.

I think this will be more of a company-led expansion instead of one led by consumers.

I think this will be more of a company-led expansion instead of one led by consumers.

In the meantime, the data on the US economy (especially employment and industrial production) will look very weak in the read more

In the meantime, the data on the US economy (especially employment and industrial production) will look very weak in the next few months,

For five years I worked at the [Commerce Department] and did econometric modeling, and you could never get these numbers read more

For five years I worked at the [Commerce Department] and did econometric modeling, and you could never get these numbers to load into consumption numbers. They're not leading indicators or coincident indicators. They don't tell you a lot.