Brian Avery

April can be a violent month.

April can be a violent month.

Extreme warm temperatures early on and wet, heavy rains could change that. That's what usually causes flooding.

Extreme warm temperatures early on and wet, heavy rains could change that. That's what usually causes flooding.

February is a dry month anyway. It's typically the driest month. And this February was drier than most.

February is a dry month anyway. It's typically the driest month. And this February was drier than most.

This will help. But one good year doesn't pull you out of a drought.

This will help. But one good year doesn't pull you out of a drought.

That's the problem with forecast modeling. It assumes current conditions and normal weather throughout the period. That can go out read more

That's the problem with forecast modeling. It assumes current conditions and normal weather throughout the period. That can go out the window.