In complex situations, we may rely too heavily on planning and forecasting and underestimate the importance of random factors in read more

In complex situations, we may rely too heavily on planning and forecasting and underestimate the importance of random factors in the environment. That reliance can also lead to delusions of control.

My goal in sailing isn't to be brilliant or flashy in individual races, just to be consistent over the long read more

My goal in sailing isn't to be brilliant or flashy in individual races, just to be consistent over the long run.

A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by
little statesmen and philosophers and divines.

A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by
little statesmen and philosophers and divines.

Look to make your course regular, that men may know beforehand what they may expect.

Look to make your course regular, that men may know beforehand what they may expect.

If we can't figure something out in three weeks, we probably shouldn't bother.

If we can't figure something out in three weeks, we probably shouldn't bother.

Most plans are just inaccurate predictions.

Most plans are just inaccurate predictions.

You are harping on the same string.
[Lat., Cantilenam candem canis.]

You are harping on the same string.
[Lat., Cantilenam candem canis.]

A trend is a trend is a trend. But the question is, will it bend? Will it alter its course read more

A trend is a trend is a trend. But the question is, will it bend? Will it alter its course through some unforeseen force and come to a premature end?

Some self-confronting questions: "Where do I want to be at any given time?" "How am I going to get there? read more

Some self-confronting questions: "Where do I want to be at any given time?" "How am I going to get there? "What do I have to do to get myself from where I am to where I want to be?"... "What's the first, small step I can take to get moving?".